Marketing intelligence

Where should Medicare marketers invest — and what should shape the strategy?

Market opportunity, D-SNP audience landscape, competitive positioning, policy guardrails, campaign planning, and evidence-backed marketing strategy.

This is not Sales intelligence, and it is not trying to be. Sales intelligence answers where the winnable members are: AEP targeting, market headroom, battlecards, field deployment. Marketing intelligence answers the question one step earlier and one level up: where the investment should go, what the audience landscape looks like, what competitors are structurally doing, what policy allows you to say, and what the campaign has to assume to pay back. The intended path is market → marketing strategy → sales execution.
3,199
Counties scored for marketing opportunity
April 2026 CMS county file
5,767,705
Proxy uncaptured dual opportunity This is a directional market-sizing proxy. It does not represent a verified count of beneficiaries currently eligible and available to enroll in a D-SNP. It subtracts August 2026 reported D-SNP enrollment from the April 2026 dual population, two different CMS products.
August 2026 SNP report
51.8%
National D-SNP capture proxy
Same basis as /market/snp/
12
CMS actions with a marketing implication
Mirrors /policy/whats-changed/

Unless a figure names its own vintage, it comes from the April 2026 CMS county file and the August 2026 CMS SNP Comprehensive Report. Derived scores are labeled modeled.

beta Which markets deserve the next marketing dollar?

3,199counties scored in MA and D-SNP modes; 42 in the HIGH band
April 2026 CMS county file · modeled score v0.1
Rank the markets →

live Where is the D-SNP marketing opportunity?

5,767,705dual population minus reported D-SNP enrollment (cross-vintage proxy); California alone holds 1,281,620
August 2026 CMS SNP Comprehensive Report
Map the duals opportunity →

live What are competitors bringing to market, and where is the message space?

35.7%of national SNP enrollment sits with UnitedHealth Group
August 2026 SNP report · carrier structure only, benefits pending
See the landscape →

live What changed in CMS policy, and what does marketing need to change?

12tracked CMS actions with a marketing implication; 6 already final
Mirrors /policy/whats-changed/ · marketing lens is curated
Read the marketer lens →

live What should the Medicare marketing team be planning now?

15milestones across the planning year, each marked statutory, cadence or curated
Statutory windows and CMS publication cadence
Open the calendar →

beta What does this Medicare market look like beyond enrollment?

3,199counties with aggregate size, dual density and full-dual share for channel planning
Aggregate geography only · ACS layer not yet ingested
See the audience landscape →

beta What would have to be true for this campaign to pay back?

0invented inputs: every assumption in the model is one you enter
Modeled from user assumptions · no published response rates exist
Model the campaign →

beta How do we turn this into a defensible marketing strategy brief?

13sections assembled from the market data, with sources and limitations attached
Derived from the pages above · language deliberately cautious
Build the brief →
Coming next

How do our benefits compare with everything else sold in this county?

Premium, $0-premium availability, MOOP, Part B giveback and key supplemental benefits by plan and county. This is the single biggest gap in the competitive view and it is a data gap, not a design one.

Planned CMS source: MA Landscape and Plan Benefit Package files

So what / Now what Interpretation

The market picture a marketer needs is mostly already published: county size, penetration, twelve-month momentum, dual density, D-SNP capture, carrier structure and integration mix are all in named CMS files. What is not published is benefit-level comparison, plan exits by county and contract-level Stars, and those are precisely the inputs that would turn an investment ranking into a positioning argument. Everything on this hub is built from the first list and explicit about the second.

What should I do next?

Sources and vintage

DatasetSourceVintageStatus
MA and other health plan enrollment and share by countyCMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment (BENE_GEO_LVL=County)April 2026live
Dual-eligible counts by countyCMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment (DUAL_TOT_BENES / FULL_DUAL_TOT_BENES)April 2026live
SNP enrollment, integration and plansCMS SNP Comprehensive Report (SNP_REPORT_PART_17)August 2026live
Marketing Opportunity ScoreDerived, tools/build_marketing_data.py v0.12026-08-26modeled

Full methodology: Marketing Opportunity Score · site methodology.